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Top 500 Fallacy
 

The 500 Sites Fallacy

The following is a reprint from Robert Townsend of Self Promote

"Submit your site to the top 500 indexes on the net for only..." Sound good, right? Certainly, sounds impressive. But the fact of the matter is, it's probably not worth the money they charge for most sites to do such a promotion. That's not to say it isn't worth something (I certainly want you to support this site!), but in my opinion, charging

$25, $50 or $100 or more to promote a single site a single time is way too much money. Here's why:

The Facts:

Realistically, there are three types of behavior that lead to a click through to your site - a visitor can respond to an ad; he can casually encounter a link on another site that seems interesting; or he can be looking for something specific and find you in an index or search engine.

With this in mind, I did a little research in the logs of www.animeigo.com, which is the site of a company I run that releases Japanese Animation and Samurai films. It's a pretty popular site, and we do very good business on the web. I wrote a quick program to scan one of the recent log files (covering a small part of January) and look for incoming connections. I threw away anything that wasn't a page request, and also anything that wasn't being requested by Navigator or Internet Explorer (so as to filter out any search engines spidering the site). I then eliminated all clickthroughs that didn't come from a site that SelfPromotion.com can submit to (The AnimEigo site has been pretty widely promoted, to all of the sites SelfPromotion.com can currently promote to that are appropriate)

Here are the top sites:

yahoo.com...........1491

infoseek.com..........843

altavista.digital.com. 642

lycos.com.............295

excite.com.............235

webcrawler.com......141

looksmart.com.........41

bizweb.com............10

nlsearch.com...........10

gte.net....................8

snap.com................8

nerdworld.com.........3

turnpike.net.............2

usaol.com...............2

euroseek.net............1

planetsearch.com.... ..1

skyline.net..............1

manifest.com...........1

 

The Analysis:

Look at the drop-off! None of the other index sites generated more than a couple of clickthroughs! This tends to confirm my hunch; if you are looking for something in particular, you go to one of the major indexes or search engines; you don't go to "Joe-Bob's Link List". If you just hit the majors, you're going to get 95% of the clickthroughs you would get if you promoted to the "Top 500."

Further analysis of the logs was also very illuminating. There were lots of sites with only 1 or 2 clickthroughs; these probably represented linkexchange banner ad clickthroughs. But there were also sites that generated a lot of clickthroughs, rivalling the numbers of the big guys. These were all other anime-related sites. Surprisingly, these sites combined generated more clickthroughs than Altavista! The Anime Web Turnpike, for example, generated more clickthroughs than Excite.

The moral - get yourself linked with other similar sites, it is a major traffic source.

Now, some of you might say, what about "Free-for-all Links Pages?" These are pages where you can submit a link, and only the most recent links submitted are displayed. There are hundreds of them around, most of them running the same software. I was intrigued, so I visited Link-o-matic, a service that, for a fee, will repeatedly submit your URL to hundreds of these places. They have a free teaser service that submits your URL to 10 of the pages, so I used it, and then analyzed the logs, only to find...

Not a single clickthrough! In all fairness to Link-o-matic, other users, in particular the author of the VirtualPromote Newsletter, attest to good results from this service. So I did some more checking, and built my own Free-for-all submission tool (now part of the Secret Net Tools suite). The results indicate that it does generate a reasonable number of hits. A commentary: As more people start using Link-o-matic, my Secret Net Tool, and other autosubmitters on a regular basis, then pretty soon almost every link on the target pages will be from such a source. At which point, the usefulness of the pages as a promotional tool will be greatly reduced. This is an Internet version of the old "Tragedy of the Commons." Based on how people use my Free-for-all autosubmitter, I may re-evaluate whether or not to continue to provide it.

Conclusions:

So, what does this all mean? It means that a good promotion plan is a stool with three legs; banner advertising, promotion to the major search engines and indexes, and equally important, encouraging sites similar to yours to give you links (which usually means giving them links in return; www.animeigo.com has over 200 links to anime-related sites).

All of this does not bode well for sites that offer promotion services. Most of them will promote your site to the big guys for free, so the question becomes "Is it worth $50 (or whatever they charge) to put my site in a ton of indexes, in order to capture an extra 5% of traffic?" For most sites, it isn't.

The philosophy behind SelfPromotion.com is to help you capture most of that last 5%, and let you judge how much the service is worth. If you are promoting your personal web-page, it might only be worth $5 or $10. If you are going to promote a bunch of commercial sites, it may well be worth $50 or $100 or more. You decide. I'm trusting you to be honest about it.

To encourage you, I'm also creating a suite of tools (currently there are 6 of them) that will help you improve site and your search engine rankings. You gain access to them by contributing $10 or more.

It may sound strange that I've put a page on this site telling you why you shouldn't pay money for promotion services, when I want you to send me money for doing just that! However, I've always found it to be the best policy to be excruciatingly open with clients in all my endeavors, even when it was to my apparent detriment. It almost always pays off in the end.

So have fun, enjoy the site, and if this advice saved you $50, send me half and use the rest to have a fun evening. I'll use the other half to do the same

 

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